TNews Predicts: 2026 Victorian State Election

 Primary Vote

🔵L/NC: 30%

🟠ON: 24%

🔴VLP: 23%

🟢VG: 16%

⚫️OTH: 7%


Two-Party Preferred

🔵L/NC: 53.5%

🔴VLP: 46.5%


VLP V ON

🔴VLP: 53%

🟠ON: 47%


Map

Map based on Primary Vote and Preference
Flows that are shown below.

Major Party Preference Flows

Labor: 65% to Greens, 20% to Coalition, 10% to Other/Ind, 5% to One Nation

Coalition: 55% to One Nation, 25% to Other/Ind, 17% to Labor, 3% to Greens


Minor Party Preference Flows

Greens: 82% to Labor, 14% to Other/Ind, 3% to Coalition, 1% to One Nation

One Nation: 65% to Coalition, 20% to Other/Ind, 14% to Labor, 1% to Greens

Other/Ind: 38% to Labor, 32% to Coalition, 18% to Greens, 12% to One Nation

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